Record buybacks, insider selling, and gold’s surge hint the rally may be peaking — a chance to lock in gains and move into safer ground.
By Reagan Steele – Business & Economic Policy Writer
Corporate America is on pace to repurchase more than $1.1 trillion of its own stock this year, with nearly $984 billion in buyback announcements already in 2025 — the strongest start on record. The push is led by tech heavyweights like Apple and Alphabet, alongside major banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America. While buybacks can reward shareholders by reducing share counts and lifting earnings per share, they are also often deployed when valuations are already stretched, raising questions about whether companies are leaning on financial engineering rather than long-term growth.
That note of caution is echoed in the behavior of corporate insiders — the executives and directors presumed to have the clearest view of their companies’ prospects. In July, insiders at only 151 S&P 500 firms made purchases, the lowest since at least 2018, while selling remained far more common. The buying-to-selling ratio hit a one-year low, a signal that valuation concerns and tariff-related uncertainty may be weighing on corporate confidence. Even buybacks slowed in July, dipping below typical seasonal levels for the fourth straight week.
Meanwhile, gold has been charting a different path. The metal hit a record $3,534 an ounce this month, up 32% year-to-date and far outpacing the S&P 500’s 8% gain. Analysts point to the prospect of tariffs on imported gold bars, rising geopolitical tensions — from stalled ceasefire efforts in Ukraine to U.S.-China trade friction — and growing unease about the U.S. economy. Softer job growth, downward revisions in hiring, and stubborn inflation have stoked stagflation fears, sustaining demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
The combination of record buybacks, insider selling, and a rush into gold paints a picture of a market approaching a tipping point. For some investors, that may mean the current rally is an opportunity to take gains off the table and redeploy into assets less tied to equity market swings — with gold standing out as a historically resilient option in periods of uncertainty.
Reagan Steele
Reagan Steele covers financial markets, housing, and local business trends. He smokes too much, sleeps too little, and refuses to speculate.





